President's Budget Relies on Optimistic Economic Projections and Unlikely Spending Cuts
The president's budget misses an opportunity to address the structural causes of our debt and relies instead on overly optimistic economic assumptions.
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The president's budget misses an opportunity to address the structural causes of our debt and relies instead on overly optimistic economic assumptions.
The nonpartisan CBO projects that the federal debt would reach 183% of GDP within 25 years.
https://www.pgpf.org/analysis/congressional-budget-offices-2014-long-term-budget-outlook
CBO’s estimate of the cumulative deficit over the next 10 years totals $2.3 trillion more than the Administration had estimated.
On our current path, CBO projects that deficits will reach $1.0 trillion by 2022 and total $10.1 trillion over the next ten years.
https://www.pgpf.org/analysis/2017/06/cbo-unsustainable-deficits-threaten-future-economic-growth
CBO projects that the federal budget deficit will increase as a share of GDP for the first year since 2009.
https://www.pgpf.org/analysis/2016/08/CBO-deficits-are-back-on-the-rise
CBO finds that the budget would not reach balance in 2027 as the administration projects.
https://www.pgpf.org/analysis/2017/07/cbo-debt-remains-high-under-presidents-budget
The Congressional Budget Office’s new long-term projections show that the federal budget is on an unsustainable path.
https://www.pgpf.org/analysis/cbo-2013-long-term-budget-outlook-analysis
Federal debt is already at its highest level as a percentage of GDP since 1950 and would exceed its all-time high by 2034 under current law.
https://www.pgpf.org/analysis/2018/07/cbo-warns-historic-debt-levels-threaten-economy
Medicare is a large share of the budget, and it is projected to grow.
https://www.pgpf.org/analysis/urgent-action-needed-to-shore-up-medicare-program
The long-term budget outlook has deteriorated significantly since last year, when CBO projected debt would reach 111% of GDP in 30 years under current law.
https://www.pgpf.org/analysis/2016/07/cbo-long-term-budget-outlook-worse-than-last-year