The Gap Between Federal Spending and Revenues Has Grown Rapidly During the Pandemic
Last Updated October 8, 2020
The economic disruption caused by the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and the federal government’s response to it has widened the gap between spending and revenues in the budget. The growth in spending has been driven by legislative actions, particularly provisions in the Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security (CARES) Act such as Economic Impact Payments, the Paycheck Protection Program, and additional unemployment compensation.
Provisions in the CARES Act and the Families First Coronavirus Response Act also diminished revenues sharply by deferring some payroll taxes, creating tax credits for employers to retain workers and provide sick leave, and allowing greater use of losses to offset taxable income. The recent uptick in revenues mostly reflects activity that would have occurred earlier in the year if the Administration had not postponed the tax-filing deadline.
An Unsustainable Fiscal Future
The rapid increase in the gap between revenues and spending is not surprising given the devastating effects of the pandemic and the necessary fiscal response. However, the underlying structural gap is an issue that lawmakers will need to consider once the crisis has abated.
Learn more about the fiscal challenges that the U.S. was facing before the pandemic.
Image credit: Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images
Further Reading
Long-Term Budget Outlook Leaves No Room for Costly Legislation
As lawmakers consider costly legislation to extend expiring tax provisions this year, CBO’s latest projections serve as a warning that our fiscal outlook is already dangerously unsustainable.
Moody’s Warns Recent Policy Decisions Worsen U.S. Fiscal State, Maintains Negative Outlook Rating
Moody’s says that the United States is in fiscal deterioration, warning that government policy decisions in the near term could contribute to higher interest rates and worsening national debt.
National Debt Would Skyrocket Under TCJA Extension
New analysis released from the nonpartisan CBO shows deficits doubling and debt skyrocketing under a scenario where the expiring provisions of the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act were made permanent.