Social Security is projected to run permanent cash deficits between now and 2033, totaling $2.7 trillion (in 2013 dollars), when the trust fund will be exhausted
May 01, 2013

SOURCE: Data from the Social Security Administration, The 2013 Annual Report of the Board of Trustees of the Federal Old-Age and Survivors Insurance and Federal Disability Insurance Trust Funds, using intermediate assumptions. Compiled by PGPF.

According to the latest government estimates, Social Security has begun a period of permanent cash-flow deficits, paying out more in annual benefits than it brings in through taxes. Absent reform, Social Security will run out of authority to pay full scheduled benefits after 2033. At that time, projections by the Social Security actuary indicate that benefits will have to be cut by about 23 percent if laws are not changed. Such large cuts could be reduced if policymakers took action in advance by phasing in modest tax increases, benefit cuts, or both.

For more information on Social Security, check out PGPF’s analysis of the 2013 Trustees Report.

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Related Charts:

Federal Debt: 1990-2035
Projected Federal Deficits
Interest Costs and Revenues Comparison
Revenue, Spending, and Primary Deficits Under Two Scenarios
Social Security: Policy Options

Peter G. Peterson Foundation Chart Pack:

The PGPF chart pack illustrates that budget-making involves many competing priorities, limited resources, and complex issues. In this set of charts, we aim to frame the financial condition and fiscal outlook of the U.S. government within a broad economic, political, and demographic context.
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